Standard de Liège vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
6º
5º
33
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 16 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 13 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 13 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 9 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 7 |
6º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KVC
3 - 3
SDL
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
STR
3 - 3
SDL
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 0
LEU
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GEN
5 - 1
SDL
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SDL
4 - 0
EUP
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 1
KVM
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 2
KVC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 3
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LEU
2 - 3
KVM
34%
25%
42%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LEU
1 - 0
KVM
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |