Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 4-1
Standard de Liège vs Helsingborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
SDL
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SDL
3 - 1
LOK
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SDL
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SDL
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
SDL
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Helsingborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 3
HEL
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SYR
1 - 2
HEL
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
HEL
3 - 0
BNE
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
HEL
2 - 1
GÖT
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
BNE
1 - 0
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |