Standard de Liège vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
LOK
1 - 1
SDL
20%
26%
54%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
KVK
1 - 1
SDL
31%
25%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
1 - 3
SDL
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2008 |
SDL
1 - 0
SEV
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
SDL
1 - 2
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
3 - 1
TUB
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
EXC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
CER
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
KVK
2 - 2
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |