Standard de Liège vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SDL
3 - 0
KVM
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AND
1 - 1
SDL
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
KSV
1 - 5
SDL
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
1 - 1
SDL
29%
27%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAC
4 - 2
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 1
CEL
75%
17%
9%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
OPA
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 2
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |