UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-5
Standard de Liège vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
WAA
0 - 0
SDL
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LEU
0 - 1
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SDL
3 - 2
GEN
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 1
SDL
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
TUB
0 - 1
SDL
17%
22%
62%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 3
WOL
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
STR
1 - 3
AJA
32%
24%
43%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 0
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |