Standard de Liège vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
ANT
5 - 1
SDL
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
SDL
0 - 1
GEN
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
KSV
2 - 3
SDL
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
SDL
0 - 1
AND
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
THO
1 - 2
SDL
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
KOL
4 - 1
MUN
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 1
STU
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 0
ARB
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |