SL16 FC vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
11º
11º
14
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
STL
1 - 4
RWD
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KSK
2 - 0
STL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STL
1 - 3
RSC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOM
0 - 1
STL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WAA
2 - 1
STL
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
RSC
3 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
3 - 3
BRG
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 2
BEE
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |