SL16 FC vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
6º
5º
40
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
STL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
STL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
STL
1 - 0
LOM
32%
25%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
KRC
2 - 2
STL
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STL
0 - 0
BRG
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 0
DEI
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 0
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
2 - 1
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAA
5 - 2
DEN
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
DEI
18%
24%
57%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |