Stamford vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
STA
4 - 0
NOR
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
STA
0 - 5
STO
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 1
STA
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
STA
1 - 1
KID
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STA
4 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRE
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SLA
5 - 3
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |