Stadl-Paura vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
84.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
16º
16º
36
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 55.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SVW
12 - 0
STA
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
PWD
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OED
8 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
UMA
7%
13%
81%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
10 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVZ
0 - 5
GRU
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
SVZ
39%
22%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 0
WEL
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OST
2 - 3
SVZ
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 1
UNP
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |