Stadl-Paura vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
79.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
STA
5 - 1
OED
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
KAL
3 - 0
STA
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
STA
0 - 1
WAC
20%
19%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
HER
7 - 2
STA
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
GUR
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
STR
3 - 1
AUS
80%
13%
6%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
RAP
1 - 1
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
CRV
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
CRA
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
STR
1 - 1
KMG
93%
6%
1%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |