Stade Payerne vs Signal Bernex-Confignon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
5º
2º
55
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PLO
0 - 4
STA
33%
22%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
PER
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
STA
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
6 - 1
VEY
74%
16%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
STA
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Signal Bernex-Confignon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SBC
0 - 0
ODG
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SBC
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SBC
0 - 4
LAN
25%
21%
55%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ECH
0 - 1
SBC
12%
16%
71%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SBC
2 - 2
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |