Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
9º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAU
5 - 1
STA
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 1
STA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
FCV
24%
23%
54%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BIE
3 - 5
FCA
21%
20%
59%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
ERZ
41%
23%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
S04
3 - 1
FCA
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
NEX
1 - 3
FCA
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |