Stade Nabeulien vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nabeulien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SNA
2 - 1
CRO
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MED
2 - 0
SNA
54%
23%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SNA
2 - 1
JEN
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 0
SNA
63%
23%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SNA
2 - 1
SFA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
ESH
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
FCH
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MBO
2 - 0
SPO
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
LAN
17%
27%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EGS
4 - 0
SPO
76%
17%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -2 |