Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
4º
10º
4º
61
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SCH
0 - 1
STA
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
4 - 0
VEV
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
STA
3 - 2
BUL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
BEL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 2
FCA
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BIE
3 - 5
FCA
21%
20%
59%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
ERZ
41%
23%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
S04
3 - 1
FCA
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |