Stade Brestois vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
8º
3º
76
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
100% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 1
TFC
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
0 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 0
ACM
28%
25%
46%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 3
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 1
PSG
53%
23%
25%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 0
PSG
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |