Q. Europa League Play Offs Final
Global 1-7
Stabæk vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
STB
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ELP
3 - 1
STB
32%
25%
42%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
STB
0 - 0
FCK
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
STB
3 - 0
ELP
74%
16%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
FCK
3 - 1
STB
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 0
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VCF
3 - 0
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |