Stabæk vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
15º
15º
61
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
BBS
13%
21%
67%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
STB
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VKG
1 - 0
STB
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ODD
4 - 0
STB
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BBS
2 - 1
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
RBK
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
S08
4 - 0
TRO
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 0
SDF
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |