Stabæk vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
14º
10º
16
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 66 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 46 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 44 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 42 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 40 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 62% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 1
STB
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
RAN
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
STB
2 - 2
KRI
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IKS
5 - 1
STB
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 3
EGE
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 0
MOS
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 4
EGE
42%
25%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ASA
2 - 1
MOS
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
MOS
3 - 1
HOD
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MJO
2 - 2
MOS
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |