Stabæk vs Mjøndalen IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
11º
7
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
HAU
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
STB
1 - 0
SKE
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
4 - 2
STB
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
0 - 4
STB
12%
17%
71%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mjøndalen IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MJO
1 - 4
RAN
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
STR
1 - 3
MJO
47%
23%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 0
MJO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
MJO
2 - 3
IKS
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MJO
1 - 1
STR
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |