Stabæk vs Lillestrom SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
15º
15º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
STB
5 - 2
HAM
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
TRO
20%
26%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STB
0 - 1
BBS
13%
21%
67%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
STB
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LSK
0 - 2
BBS
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LSK
3 - 0
RBK
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
S08
3 - 1
LSK
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
LSK
17%
24%
59%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
LSK
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |