Stabæk vs Kongsvinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
11º
22
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 35.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RAU
1 - 0
STB
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 3
MJO
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
STB
4 - 0
MJO
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 1
STB
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
STB
2 - 1
HAU
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 1
LYN
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
RBK
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
LSK
2 - 0
KON
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
KON
1 - 3
ODD
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
SOG
3 - 3
KON
28%
22%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |