St. Truiden 2 vs Berg en Dal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
76.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+813%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
16º
9º
41
7º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Truiden 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
STT
1 - 1
BER
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WEZ
1 - 1
STT
89%
7%
4%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
STT
1 - 1
MEC
11%
16%
74%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | +4 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STT
2 - 3
RAC
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
1 - 1
STT
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | +1 |
Matches
Berg en Dal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TON
1 - 1
BED
51%
22%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BED
1 - 2
RUP
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 3
BED
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BED
1 - 1
KVV
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WEL
4 - 0
BED
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |