St. Pölten II vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
13º
9º
25
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAN
4 - 2
STP
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVG
3 - 1
STP
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
STP
1 - 2
SCU
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STP
4 - 0
WAI
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 4
SVG
9%
19%
72%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SCU
2 - 0
SPR
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
ARD
11%
19%
70%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WAI
4 - 0
SPR
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 1
SPR
56%
21%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |