St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Vitré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
37
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPG
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 2
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
4 - 0
ESO
65%
18%
18%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAT
1 - 2
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
ANG
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 4
LAV
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |