St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Sablé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 1
SPG
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 1
SNA
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 1
SPG
58%
19%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPG
2 - 0
LAV
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LEM
4 - 0
SPG
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 0
LRO
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 2
SAB
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 1
SPG
58%
19%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ACP
2 - 1
SAB
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 3
FON
48%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |