St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
41
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 44% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPG
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
FON
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
2 - 0
ASC
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 0
SPG
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 0
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
NAN
4 - 0
ESO
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
LAT
2 - 1
NAN
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NAN
2 - 1
ANG
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
USS
2 - 2
NAN
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
NAN
4 - 1
SAB
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |