St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
6º
50
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPG
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 5
LAV
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
SPG
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
NAN
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
LSD
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAN
19%
24%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |