St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Challans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
44
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
SPG
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
27%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
LRO
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
SPG
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
CHA
49%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEM
2 - 2
CHA
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 4
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |