St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
40
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 0
SPG
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 0
LAT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 1
SPG
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 2
SPG
43%
24%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ESO
0 - 1
ASC
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LAT
0 - 1
ASC
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAN
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |