St. Peter vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
8º
37
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 0
STP
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 4
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
SCU
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 3
STP
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
STP
3 - 1
STP
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 0
SCO
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 0
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
STP
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
ARD
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |