Saint-Pauloise vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ESD
2 - 1
PAU
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PAU
5 - 0
LOU
59%
22%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
PSL
2 - 3
PAU
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAU
3 - 1
JEA
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 2
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 1
EXC
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
EXC
1 - 0
ESD
79%
12%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 1
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
EXC
4 - 0
PSL
76%
14%
9%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
JEA
2 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |