FC St Pauli vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
DAR
4 - 2
STP
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STP
5 - 1
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
VIK
1 - 2
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
STP
0 - 0
SVS
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 1
ULM
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
OSN
3 - 0
ULM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
3 - 0
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SAA
2 - 0
ULM
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |