FC St Pauli vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STP
2 - 1
KSC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
STP
36%
23%
41%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STP
5 - 1
FCN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
STP
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STP
3 - 1
S04
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
S04
3 - 2
HAN
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KSC
3 - 0
S04
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
S04
4 - 1
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
S04
1 - 2
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
S04
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |