FC St Pauli vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
VFB
0 - 3
STP
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
STP
0 - 2
OSN
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
OWI
0 - 0
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
STP
2 - 0
TBR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
SCS
1 - 2
HOL
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
OWI
1 - 2
SCS
62%
24%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
SCS
0 - 0
TBR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
CEL
2 - 0
SCS
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
SCS
4 - 0
ITZ
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |