FC St Pauli vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
LUB
3 - 1
STP
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
STP
0 - 0
ISC
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
FCP
0 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
STP
3 - 1
HOL
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 1
STP
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SCS
0 - 2
AHA
24%
22%
53%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
WOL
6 - 1
SCS
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
LHF
1 - 2
SCS
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
SCS
1 - 3
TBR
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
BER
0 - 1
SCS
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |