FC St Pauli vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ITZ
3 - 2
STP
20%
21%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
STP
0 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ALT
2 - 1
STP
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
WOL
2 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
STP
3 - 0
TBR
80%
14%
7%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
SCS
0 - 4
FCP
57%
21%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
HOL
0 - 1
SCS
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
AHA
1 - 2
SCS
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SCS
4 - 2
ITZ
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
3 - 4
SCS
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |