FC St Pauli vs Paderborn analysis

FC St Pauli Paderborn
85 ELO 80
-11% Tilt 30.7%
91º General ELO ranking 186º
17º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
43.9%
FC St Pauli
24.8%
Draw
31.3%
Paderborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC St Pauli
-1%
+1%
Paderborn

Points and table prediction

FC St Pauli
Their league position
Paderborn
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
52
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC St Pauli
69
69
100%
Holstein Kiel
68
68
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
63
63
100%
Hamburger SV
58
58
100%
Karlsruher SC
55
55
100%
Hannover 96
52
52
100%
Paderborn
52
52
100%
Greuther Fürth
50
50
100%
Hertha BSC
48
48
100%
Schalke 04
10º
43
43
10º
0%
SV Elversberg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
Nürnberg
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Kaiserslautern
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Magdeburg
14º
38
38
14º
0%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
38
38
15º
0%
Wehen Wiesbaden
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Hansa Rostock
17º
31
31
17º
100%
VfL Osnabrück
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC St Pauli
Paderborn
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC St Pauli
Paderborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
17%
21%
63%
84 74 10 0
10 Mar. 2024
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
41%
25%
34%
84 81 3 0
01 Mar. 2024
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
23%
22%
54%
84 77 7 0
23 Feb. 2024
HOL
Holstein Kiel
3 - 4
FC St Pauli
STP
32%
23%
45%
84 80 4 0
18 Feb. 2024
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
65%
21%
14%
83 70 13 +1

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
67%
19%
14%
81 69 12 0
09 Mar. 2024
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 3
Paderborn
PAD
37%
25%
39%
81 78 3 0
03 Mar. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 0
Magdeburg
MAG
51%
23%
27%
81 77 4 0
23 Feb. 2024
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
28%
24%
48%
80 75 5 +1
17 Feb. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
0 - 4
Holstein Kiel
HOL
48%
23%
29%
81 79 2 -1