FC St Pauli vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ING
0 - 1
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 1
STP
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
FSV
1 - 2
STP
7%
14%
80%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
STP
3 - 5
KOL
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
4 - 1
STP
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAD
4 - 4
MAG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 5
PAD
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
BOC
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SGF
2 - 2
PAD
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 1
ING
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |