FC St Pauli vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BSV
1 - 1
STP
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
STP
2 - 0
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
WSV
3 - 3
STP
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
STP
1 - 2
BYM
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 92 | 29 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
STP
0 - 0
FCU
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HAM
1 - 0
BSV
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 1
HAM
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HAM
3 - 1
WSV
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
FCU
0 - 1
HAM
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
HAM
4 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |