FC St Pauli vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WUP
3 - 0
STP
23%
23%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
STP
2 - 2
SGD
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
STP
1 - 1
PRE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 1
STP
44%
24%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
AAA
4 - 1
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
HAM
2 - 3
WAT
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
EBT
5 - 2
HAM
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 2
KFC
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
VFR
0 - 1
HAM
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 4
HAM
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |