FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
4 - 1
STP
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
SVS
1 - 0
STP
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
STP
4 - 2
HEI
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 2
STP
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ELV
4 - 2
STP
14%
19%
67%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 3
DAR
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
SVS
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SSV
1 - 1
FCN
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 3
RBL
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 1
FCN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |