FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
STP
0 - 2
HER
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SVS
3 - 0
STP
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ERZ
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
STP
1 - 1
BRE
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HAN
2 - 0
STP
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 3
S04
23%
23%
54%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 0
HAN
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 3
FCN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
SSV
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
2 - 0
FCU
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |