FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
KSC
3 - 0
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
STP
4 - 0
F95
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
FSV
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
EBT
0 - 2
STP
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 1
DAR
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
RBL
2 - 1
FCN
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 2
BOC
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCN
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
FCN
0 - 1
HEI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |