FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1989 |
BVB
3 - 1
STP
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
STP
0 - 0
BRE
28%
29%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1989 |
STP
5 - 1
KFC
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1989 |
KOL
4 - 2
STP
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1989 |
WAL
2 - 1
STP
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
FCN
2 - 2
LEV
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
BYM
3 - 2
FCN
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1989 |
SVS
1 - 0
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1989 |
FCN
2 - 1
BYM
19%
25%
57%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
HAN
2 - 2
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |