FC St Pauli vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
EBT
2 - 1
STP
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
STP
0 - 1
OSN
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PAD
2 - 0
STP
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 4
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
KSC
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ERZ
0 - 2
SSV
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
SVS
1 - 4
ERZ
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 0
DAR
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
HAN
0 - 0
ERZ
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HOL
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |