FC St Pauli vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
KOL
4 - 1
STP
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
WEH
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
STP
2 - 3
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 0
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CZJ
2 - 4
ERZ
22%
22%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 2
ERZ
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 0
FCU
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |