FC St Pauli vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
ROS
3 - 0
STP
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
STP
1 - 0
MUN
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
KAI
4 - 1
STP
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
STP
4 - 1
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SGF
5 - 2
STP
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
SCF
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
WEH
1 - 0
AAA
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
MSV
3 - 2
AAA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 0
ING
80%
14%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 2
AAA
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |