FC St Pauli vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2000 |
STP
2 - 2
M05
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 3
STP
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
STP
1 - 0
ULM
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
OSN
0 - 0
STP
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
STP
1 - 3
S04
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2000 |
AAA
0 - 4
HAN
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2000 |
M05
1 - 1
AAA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
AAA
3 - 1
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ULM
3 - 1
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2000 |
AAA
1 - 2
LEV
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |