FC St Pauli vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FSV
3 - 3
STP
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
STP
1 - 0
EBT
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 0
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
STP
1 - 2
MUN
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SGF
3 - 0
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
DAR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
KAI
1 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 1
FCU
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
FCU
0 - 4
FCN
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |